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Virginia Supreme Court sets aside redistricting election results - link
Poast new message in this thread
Date: May 8th, 2026 10:10 AM Author: German pumo https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2052751840249274410
Looks like Republicans keep the House in 2026, though presumably Dems will redistrict in a lot of places by 2028. |
Date: May 8th, 2026 10:15 AM Author: German pumo https://x.com/Jaaavis/status/2052752178440204374 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874674) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:15 AM Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Obama must be dying a bit inside today. He championed the VA effort but now it's officially a lawless power grab. In the meantime, Republicans are being more successful in their redistricting. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874675) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:17 AM Author: German pumo Overwhelmingly more successful. It will take the bluest of blue waves for Dems to take the House in 2026. Though I expect Republicans winning the election via judges will result in a huge backlash which will ensure every Dem state is gerrymandered to the max by 2028. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874683) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:19 AM Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, sadly, very few states have fair processes. i will do some searching around to see how many are fair. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874695) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:36 AM Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, which blue states are not already gerrymandered? maybe 2 or 3? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874719) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:17 AM Author: animeboi (.) lol eat shit dems ur all going to die. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874685) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:18 AM Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, it's a thoughtful opinion that will be intellectually accessible to a lot of citizens. some highlights:
Under the proposed new map, approximately 47% of Virginians that voted for representatives of one of the major political parties in the last congressional election would now be represented by 9% of Virginia’s delegation to the U.S. House of Representatives — while the approximately 51% of Virginians that voted for the other major political party would now be represented by 91% of Virginia’s congressional delegation.8 |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:21 AM Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Having successfully insisted (over the objection of the Claimants) 13 that we postpone judicial review of the constitutional amendment until after the election process, it might be tempting for the Commonwealth to think that the final vote implicitly stacks the deck in its favor — perhaps enough so that the exercise of any judicial review could be viewed as an ultra vires effort to overturn the will of the people. If this supposition were true — that Scott forbids pre-election challenges and that “the will of the people” forbids post-election challenges — then judicial review of allegedly unconstitutional procedures used to adopt a constitutional amendment would not exist in the Commonwealth of Virginia.14 |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:26 AM Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, With that perspective, imagine one of the over one million Virginians who had voted in person before Election Day in 2025 walking into a polling place. The voter says to the officer of election, “I am here to vote in the election.” The officer of election responds, “we are not conducting an election here.” “But that’s why I am here,” the voter replies. “Maybe so, but let me explain,” the officer of election insists, “you can vote in the election, but we are not conducting an election today. Elections are only conducted on Election Day.” |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:20 AM Author: Ivermectin this will work out well for you, cons (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874697) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:23 AM Author: boltzmann penis cons just fell into lib’s 3-d chess trap! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874701) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:44 AM Author: Candy Ride (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874729) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:25 AM Author: crockpot liner Your “party” is over, sorry! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874704) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:34 AM Author: .,.,.;;,;.,;:,:,,:,.,:,::,..;.,:,.:;.:.,;.:.,:.::, every state is already going ham on redistricting retard. what, is california gonna redistrict EVEN HARDER now? lmao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874717) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:22 AM Author: crockpot liner Lmfaooooooo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874700) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:31 AM Author: the walter white of this generation (walt jr.) Good for them. If Dems get a trifecta in 2028, they need to use their capital to end this shit at the federal level by way of the common cause bill. If they play their cards right, they can create a contained exception to the filibuster that just gets countered a couple years later by a GOP bill for national voter ID, excuse-only absentee voting, roll cleaning, etc.
But this shit is seriously undermining the whole point/purpose of the House of representatives. No shit every rep just blindly votes for/against their potus; that's literally what their selection process selects for. |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:33 AM Author: German pumo The redistricting could help Dems in the Senate races if it drives up turnout among blacks and other angry Dems. Not having a Republican Senate to confirm Trump's judicial nominations would hurt Republicans a lot more than a Dem House would. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874714) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:42 AM Author: the walter white of this generation (walt jr.) It's largely irrelevant. Dems are going to win the House no matter what and 3 votes is the same as 30 for purposes of "governing" over the next two years. (Even for 2028 reelection, the incumbency advantage these days is very small.)
But lol at an almost certainly correct court decision in Virginia "driv[ing] up turnout among blacks" in NC or GA, let alone Maine or ohio. |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:50 AM Author: German pumo Agree the opinion is correct, and the black vote won't be based on Virginia as much as seeing things like Mississippi not being able to elect a black congressman even though they are 40% black. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874742) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:43 AM Author: Candy Ride Lol libs. Eat shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874726) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:43 AM Author: German pumo Betting markets still think Dems win?
https://x.com/ZhouJaron/status/2052758529837011440 |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:46 AM Author: POPE LEO IS WEAK ON CRIME lol at your forecasting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874732) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:48 AM Author: German pumo The same VA SCOTUS ruled twice to allow the referendum to go forward. Seemed likely that they would be less willing to set aside a result after voters had already gone to the trouble of voting in an election that they allowed to take place. So yeah, I'm surprised. AI is as well- I asked a couple of them what was likely and they said what I did above. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874738) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 11:00 AM Author: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, the Dem-controlled state government convincingly argued that the high court could not intervene pre-vote. the VA SCOTUS rubbed the Dems' nose in that in the excerpt i pasted above. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874766) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 11:02 AM Author: German pumo I agree the opinion was correct, but it was 4-3 and a Dem appointee wrote for the majority. He did his job correctly, but a lot of judges don't. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874770) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:48 AM Author: ;;;;;;;;;::::;;;;;;;;;;;; This will narrow the Dem margin by a few seats but ultimately won’t matter because they are going to go hard to gerrymander NY after 2026 which will even things out in 28. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874739) |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 10:51 AM Author: :::::;;;;;:;;;; Callais says NOPE
Dems are headed for extinction, not exaggerating in the slightest |
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Date: May 8th, 2026 11:01 AM Author: German pumo In Trump's last midterm election, Dems gained like 30 seats. My impression is that voters are even more pissed at him now than back then. So even if they only end up with a few more seats than the Republicans, it's going to be hard to ride out a superwave even with Callais. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5864981&forum_id=2...id..#49874768) |