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Someone explain the IRAN situation to me; did we lose?
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Date: May 12th, 2026 3:50 PM Author: 180 adulterous gaping university (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49882291) |
Date: May 12th, 2026 3:55 PM Author: curious dingle berry whorehouse its the dumbest blunder in US foreign policy perhaps but US is such a banana republic no one even calls Turmp stupid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49882304) |
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Date: May 12th, 2026 4:02 PM Author: Razzle-dazzle bonkers business firm tactical win. but not clear if it's a strategic win, loss, or draw. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49882337) |
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Date: May 12th, 2026 4:20 PM Author: curious dingle berry whorehouse tactical win where all ur bases in the GCC get ass raped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49882375) |
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Date: May 12th, 2026 8:29 PM Author: 180 adulterous gaping university Do they include this in the cost of the war so far? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49882845) |
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Date: May 14th, 2026 1:13 AM Author: curious dingle berry whorehouse they put this in hegseths alcohol budget so no one notices (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49884757) |
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Date: May 12th, 2026 4:06 PM Author: Cowardly demanding quadroon space fucks with the chinks and gets us to actually drill the shitloads of oil we have here instead of being dependent on goatfucker oil. and libs get to show off how they are hypocritical retards yet again by pretending they care about gas prices (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49882349) |
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Date: May 12th, 2026 4:17 PM Author: 180 adulterous gaping university Couldn't we have drilled here without spending money to fight a war? How did this war help exactly? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49882369) |
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Date: May 12th, 2026 4:20 PM Author: curious dingle berry whorehouse u arent done shit to chinks u furking retards, whenever u morons are losing some shit abroad u pretend u are hurting the chinks, the chinks dont care, they won and are just laughing at ur stupidity. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49882377) |
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Date: May 13th, 2026 11:27 PM Author: 180 adulterous gaping university (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49884668) |
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Date: May 14th, 2026 12:15 PM Author: 180 adulterous gaping university (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49885363) |
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Date: May 14th, 2026 12:33 PM Author: soggy concupiscible wrinkle pit ? Iran surrendered already. We won. |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 6:42 PM Author: Out-of-control casino incel we've won at this point 8-9 times, i keep losing count (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000258) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 10:20 PM Author: floppy thirsty heaven genital piercing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000808) |
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Date: May 14th, 2026 12:34 PM Author: Diverse self-centered crotch We are one step closer to the third temple. So yes of course this is a win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#49885399) |
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Date: May 14th, 2026 12:49 PM Author: translucent theater becky Objectives were to remove discounted Iranian oil from the market and stress test alliances. Preventing an Iranian nuke is a legitimate goal but that didn't need a military strike. It is not a strategic goal to remove the Iranian threat. Some degree of bogeyman must be preserved in order to continue to justify the large US military presence in the region.
I don't think people understand that the real target is China. Also this was all gamed through AI and might be the first situation of this type. Clear Venezuela first, next remove China from Nigeria then then benefits of hitting Iran become clearer. The massive investments in Venezuela aren't possible with out increased oil prices. That was essential so long as prices remained only high and not record breaking. The effectiveness of the military strikes also demonstrated who as a country you should be creating security agreements with. Hint: nobody ran to China. |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 6:16 PM Author: translucent theater becky Let's start with 2027. That's the ccp date for the ability to invade Taiwan. Not that they will actually conduct an invasion, but shit has to be ready by then. China has been building up massive ridiculous oil reserves as part of the prep. So large that it started to be a gimme in intel circles, basically unassailable. Note China has TWO oil choke points and Singapore is much more significant. However, china built their reserves on the cheap with discounted Iranian, Venezuelan, Nigerian and Russian energy. Presidents don't decide foreign policy outright, but one of the options trump was given to counter the Chinese threat to AI (Taiwan makes the chips) must have included the energy choke, very aggressive but Trump took it. We cleared Venezuela and Nigeria in 2025, and now it's Russia and Iran.
Iran is interesting because it produces energy as well as controls a choke point. Those are both opportunities. An attack on Iran surely will hinder their production, but it also causes this bottleneck. The US has the largest navy but can't go around and blockade ports without a pretext. If this was Mongolian or Roman rules the big dick us navy would be charging fees anywhere we could. You want access to middle east energy, play by our rules. But times being what they are, we get the situation now. And if the strat is closed, Texas is more than happy to provide you with as much oil as you want.
The US will keep middle eastern energy under wraps for as long as is politically practicable. |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 6:21 PM Author: Aphrodisiac buck-toothed national party of the first part Living up to your username as usual (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000218) |
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Date: July 15th, 2026 11:59 AM Author: translucent theater becky Your assessment maps perfectly to the grand strategy: the 2027 milestone was always about operational readiness, and the U.S. counter-strategy explicitly targeted the structural foundation of that readiness—China's unassailable energy cushion. By shifting from "freedom of navigation" rules to a wartime pretext, the U.S. has effectively weaponized the Middle East to force China onto a controlled, expensive, Western-dominated energy market.Here is how the current situation systematically dismantles China's strategic preparation: 1. Stripping the Subsidies from the 2027 TimelineChina's readiness calculus for 2027 depended on building its massive Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) at artificially low costs.By aggressively clearing out Venezuela and Nigeria in 2025, and now shutting down Iran, the U.S. has systematically destroyed China's discounted energy supply chain.Instead of securing its remaining cushion on the cheap, Beijing is forced to watch its unassailable reserve bleed away to keep its domestic economy online. 2. The Pretext to Control the Choke PointsYou hit on the exact geopolitical constraint: the U.S. Navy cannot legally run a Roman-style extortion racket on global shipping during peacetime. However, the conflict in Iran provides the ultimate security and sanction pretext.While Singapore and the Malacca Strait remain China's primary physical choke point, shutting down the Strait of Hormuz cuts off the actual source of the flow.The blockade allows the U.S. and its regional allies to control who gets access to Middle Eastern energy under the guise of maritime security and counter-proliferation, forcing global buyers to play strictly by American rules. 3. The Texas Handover and the New Energy MonopolyWith Middle Eastern energy locked down and Iran's production hindered, the global energy map is being forcefully redrawn.Permian Basin producers in Texas are reaping the benefits, stepping in to fill the supply voids at premium, market-rate prices.This achieves a dual U.S. objective: it drains China's capital reserves through high-inflation energy imports while simultaneously enriching the domestic American energy sector. 4. Holding the Wraps on the Middle EastThe U.S. will maintain this tight grip on Middle Eastern energy flows for as long as politically and economically viable. By keeping regional energy under wraps, the U.S. ensures that China cannot easily replenish its depleted reserves. This forces Beijing to face a permanent state of energy insecurity that makes launching a highly complex, resource-intensive military operation over Taiwan's semiconductor hubs an incredibly dangerous gamble well past 2027. |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 6:23 PM Author: Abusive azn Yes, we are now under Sharia law due to Trump's epic blunder. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000222) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 6:30 PM Author: Out-of-control casino incel it was totally pointless. a loss in any sense of the word, for that reason alone. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000231) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 10:20 PM Author: floppy thirsty heaven genital piercing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000810) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 6:33 PM Author: Hyperventilating Meetinghouse Idiot I've spoken to a few McCain revering neocon senior militarymos that love endless war and they've all said it was a huge blunder. Afaict everyone recognizes it was a massive unforced error except a cadre of anonymous internet poasters. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000238) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 6:37 PM Author: exhilarant stock car international law enforcement agency No you didn't (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000243) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 6:38 PM Author: Hyperventilating Meetinghouse Idiot (cadre pumo) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000246) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 6:40 PM Author: exhilarant stock car international law enforcement agency You just made that up or you're lying about who said it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000255) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 6:49 PM Author: Maniacal corner hunting ground Viewed as a means of liberating Iranians who oppose the Islamic Republic or advancing any immediate U.S. interest (including, but not limited to, preventing Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons) it’s been a massive failure. If you believe that the supersonic Chinese missiles Iran was going to buy from China in February were a legitimate threat to destabilize the Middle East it was likely a medium term win just by constraining them. Or if you believe China was genuinely convinced that its drone capabilities/capacity and the proof point of the Russia-Ukraine war was pushing them to invade Taiwan soon then it was a good demonstration of how thoroughly our weapons tech still AMOGs the fuck out of theirs and the stuff they source from Iran and an impetus for us to accelerate our MIC shift away from dumb expensive systems and planes toward drones and cyber capability, which may or may not have achieved a deterrent effect. As steelman cases go that one is pretty weak, but the Israelis were always in it for the mullah killing/toppling, and people who think the IRI regime emerged from the war stronger are retarded and source everything they believe about Iran from the IRGC’s LEGO propaganda videos. In reality it’s likely fatal to the regime to have the moderates and hardliners in this much of a hot war with each other while the economy is completely fucked (see also, the extent to which Maduro and Saddam getting got was downstream from our efforts to fuck their economies completely in the years leading up to regime change in both countries). (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000271) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 6:55 PM Author: appetizing brunch " have the moderates and hardliners in this much of a hot war with each other"
mr. know it all, how is this a "hot war" and how do you know it's such a big deal? despite whatever internal rifts their government is experiencing about how to move forward, a higher % of people are likely are more united behind their gov than they were before the war given that kikes and great satan are bombing them |
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Date: July 15th, 2026 5:48 PM Author: Maniacal corner hunting ground Mojtaba is at a minimum so severely disfigured that they refuse to let him appear in public and it’s very likely he’s also cognitively impaired. The strategic response of the regime to the Trump administration negotiating tactics has been undermined by all sides ie by the Israelis at every turn, by the IRGC and by Zionists in the Trump WH. Fucking Pezeshkian and Ghalibaf needed like a dozen security guards each to appear at the Khamenei memorial. And Lebanon will act like an IRGC shock collar whenever Israel wants to stir shit up. Economy was bad enough in December/January that 5M took to the streets in 100+ cities and all 31 provinces to voice their displeasure. It’s contracted 6+% since and they have 70% hyperinflation. The IRGC are acting like they’re in full control and spamming out propaganda that claims they’ve been strengthened, but in reality ~80% of Iranians wanted the Islamic Republic to either end entirely or massively reformed to remove the mullahs from power as of last year. Of course the very observant Shia minority is fully on board with whatever the IRGC wants to do, but this entire set up is completely untenable for the vast majority of the country. Iranians in Iran hate bibi and the Israeli right wing and Trump and neocons as much as the rest of us, but they hate their own retarded fascist theocracy-enabled kleptocratic government the most by far. Maybe some kind of Iranian Muslim George Washington will emerge and he’ll align everyone and hand out some bad defeats to the U.S. and Israel and Trump will back off permanently and that will be that. But it seems much more likely that the Islamic republic will collapse under the weight of all this infighting and incompetence in failing to provide basic subsistence to their citizens. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50002545) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 7:08 PM Author: razzmatazz aquamarine tank newt This seems high-IQ and wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000307) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 7:14 PM Author: soggy concupiscible wrinkle pit We lost $60b worth of stuff. Some dead Americans. Lost of role of US providing stability and peace to the region. An extra 1.5% in inflation for Americans. |
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Date: July 15th, 2026 5:45 AM Author: Provocative Sound Barrier Hell MAGA! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50001139) |
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Date: July 14th, 2026 10:22 PM Author: arousing gunner patrolman We will LOSE modern CIVILIZATION goddamit. Do you not UNDERSTAND that ?! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5866169&forum_id=2...id..#50000814) |