The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
Iran about to cave on control of Strait? - link
Poast new message in this thread
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:05 PM Author: Excitant green locale https://x.com/Osint613/status/2044491372812529833
This sounds like cover for a capitulation. Oman has already said they won't charge a toll, so who in their right mind would exit the Strait on the Iranian side?
This whole "we continue to control our part of the Strait" just looks like a fig leaf so they can say they didn't capitulate when they did. |
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:06 PM Author: Excitant green locale Also sounds like the war is coming to a close. The Strait was the main sticking point. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819743) |
 |
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:08 PM Author: brilliant set keepsake machete Are you sure?
https://x.com/youranonnews/status/2044445854421958779?s=46 |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:13 PM Author: Excitant green locale From what I understand, Israel's minimium ask in the negotiations is that any deal force the enriched uranium to be physically removed from Iran. Trump and Vance have repeatedly said that they will demand that as well.
I doubt they would be going back to Pakistan for a second round of negotiations if Iran hadn't agreed to that, in exchange for sanctions being lifted. So I don't think Israel would start bombing again unilaterally, especially since they are trying to develop close ties with the Gulf states, who would be devastated by any resumption of bombing. |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:47 PM Author: brilliant set keepsake machete this is dumb. Israel will just claim in 5-7 years that Iran snuck in more Uranium and needs to be dealt with again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819827) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 8:36 PM Author: Metal indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49820616) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:50 PM Author: Demanding Piazza Your mistake here is thinking Israel is negotiating in good faith. They've never done that before, so we have no reason to believe they're doing it now. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819844) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 8:36 PM Author: Metal indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49820617) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:19 PM Author: swollen dysfunction school cafeteria Gorgeous Persians are being faggy abt this, they were winning and never shld have agreed to the ceasefire. Now there is just mute silence abt wtf is happening. I assume the GCC sand niggas are gonna pay them hundreds of billions under the table. If they dont get full sanctions relief this maeks no sense. But its still pathetic, they were embarassing the USA and close to finishing the jerb (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819764) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:45 PM Author: Excitant green locale I expect they will get full sanctions relief once the enriched uranium leaves Iran. Vance said today that Iran will be very rich if they play ball on nukes. The US is now upping the pressure to make that prospect more appealing:
https://x.com/Osint613/status/2044501036522410061 |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:46 PM Author: swollen dysfunction school cafeteria thats retarded, the idea u can do even MOAR sanctions and iran will care is similar to the shit against putin. sanctions are retarded actually (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819824) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:48 PM Author: Excitant green locale Obviously they would lift the new sanctions as part of any deal. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819829) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:56 PM Author: soggy geriatric dopamine The hard part here is knowing how bad it is in Iran right now. If they're going to collapse/lose the military without immediate relief, then it makes sense to capitulate
If they're not in imminent threat of losing military control, it seems insane to do anything but keep exerting maximum pain on the world economy
Whatever the case, it's hard to believe that Iran would put much stock into promises or future events when the promising party has regularly engaged in bad faith negotiations. I don't think they're stupid, but if they are and do that, they will deserve what they eventually get
The sad thing is, we're more likely to have peace in the region when/if there is a nuclear counterbalance to Israel. I'm sure the need for nukes is not escaping anyone right now |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 5:00 PM Author: swollen dysfunction school cafeteria if they got sanctions relief they need a way to ensure US doesnt just reinstate them but i dont even know how u furking do that
trumps word is shit and the US word is shit they reneged one very deal
iran needs to do the needful and rape an aircraft carrier |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:55 PM Author: self-absorbed people who are hurt Iran War was intensifying my mental illness so the ceasefire felt like a break at least. I'm afraid it's going to fuck over iran in the end though. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819856) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 5:00 PM Author: swollen dysfunction school cafeteria if iran actually got sanctions relief and its money back held abroad and reparations under the table from GCC sand niggas it cld actually greatly improve its shit economy and then the IRGC is in control forever cause when i was there ppl seemed more pissed off abt economy than IRGC (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49820062) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 5:03 PM Author: Spectacular boltzmann yes, the us was on its knees and begging for mercy paco |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:50 PM Author: Frisky hairless kitchen selfie Oman will charge the toll and Iran will enforce. These countries are tight (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819843) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:54 PM Author: Excitant green locale https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/oman-denies-transit-fees-strait-of-hormuz-after-iran-demands-2893255-2026-04-08 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819855) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:56 PM Author: Frisky hairless kitchen selfie New Delhi,UPDATED: Apr 8, 2026 17:01 IST (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819865) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 4:17 PM Author: Excitant green locale Oman is part of the Gulf council and the least powerful member. They can't threaten/blackmail the Saudis like Iran can. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819927) |
|
Date: April 16th, 2026 12:34 AM Author: Frisky hairless kitchen selfie Reading comp fail (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49820945) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:52 PM Author: pea-brained khaki bbw Iran is not in any way controlling who goes through the strait. We are. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819850) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:53 PM Author: Territorial Bateful Principal's Office shitlibs like TT still think we "lost" the war, what an absolutely risible idea. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819853) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:58 PM Author: Rose Hyperactive Pozpig what did we achieve with this retarded war? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819871) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 4:12 PM Author: Territorial Bateful Principal's Office Read the fucking news retard. We killed everyone militarily competent in the entire country, blew up all their missiles and capacity to make new ones, sank their whole navy, exploded their air force, all in service of being able to make sure these fucking raghead psychos never get a nuclear weapon. As an added bonus, we got to see how our tech stacks up against China's (hint, veddy favorably) with minimal losses. We also became the worlds #1 oil exporter, bigger than #2 and #3 combined - until they OPEN UP DAT HORMUSSY.
All for the cost of a couple days of Medicare + Social Security payments, that is an excellent trade. |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 3:59 PM Author: soggy geriatric dopamine Classic example of mistaking a battle for the *war*
The harm we've done to our standing in the world and making everyone unite behind the need for a post lone super power world is devastating |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 4:12 PM Author: Territorial Bateful Principal's Office I don't think the rest of the world can catch up even if they wanted to at this point. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819912) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 4:44 PM Author: soggy geriatric dopamine It's not relevant whether they can deploy as many troops, tanks, or outdated aircraft carriers as we can. Being ostracized or even treated without special favor is devastating to us. "Catching up" doesn't matter nearly as much as them "dropping out" of our orbit (and, by extension, our ability to force submission without the exercise of military might)
As an example money flooding into our treasuries and submission to our will is much more meaningful than who can invade more bigly
|
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 5:20 PM Author: Territorial Bateful Principal's Office Having all those military things backs up our sovereign debt, it becomes a "owe the bank $100 and it's your problem, owe them $100MM and it's their problem" situation. Until someone has a more powerful combination of functional legal system, free enterprise, military, and culture there's not going to be a replacement. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49820103) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 4:08 PM Author: Frisky hairless kitchen selfie Are these gas prices the new normal? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819902) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 4:13 PM Author: Territorial Bateful Principal's Office gas is obsolete, everyone just hasn't caught on yet. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49819914) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 4:50 PM Author: soggy geriatric dopamine I'm still balls deep in oil and gas stocks. This weighs heavily in the back of my mind. Though I don't think we're there yet, I do think it will arrive relatively suddenly when it happens (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49820041) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 5:57 PM Author: Territorial Bateful Principal's Office The Chinese solar production chart looks like a hockey stick. The only issue is that their coal & nat gas generation capacity graph looks the same but at some point they're gonna become uneconomical. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49820210) |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 5:02 PM Author: swollen dysfunction school cafeteria its hilarous how trump can just say shit and the propoganda arms of US govt and military then repeat siome shit on X and then trumpkisn beleive it 100% u dumb furks
if the US controls hormuz then sail thru it u bitch niggas, sail off iranian shores u bitch faggots, why dont u bitch bois do it just once? even once send some faggot ship with trannies and niggas on it and sail once thru it u faggot shits do it |
|
Date: April 15th, 2026 11:14 PM Author: Excitant green locale China tells Iran to cool it:
https://x.com/spectatorindex/status/2044614798726611071 |
|
Date: April 16th, 2026 11:20 AM Author: Frisky hairless kitchen selfie I thought Iran already caved (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5857350&forum_id=2...id..#49821292) |