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How long until China totally leapfrogs the USA in AI? < 1 year cr?

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arrogant base
  07/01/26
It probably already has Reminder most common "Americ...
titillating tan spot chad
  07/01/26
If it has then where is the model?
Cyan costumed step-uncle's house
  07/01/26
In ur penis probably
titillating tan spot chad
  07/01/26
distillation is overblown but chinese models still benefit f...
dun racy philosopher-king
  07/01/26
seems reasonable
Adventurous misunderstood mental disorder
  07/01/26
Distillation is overblown if being treated as a full magic c...
Cyan costumed step-uncle's house
  07/01/26


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Date: July 1st, 2026 4:38 PM
Author: arrogant base



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879021&forum_id=2...id..#49974123)



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Date: July 1st, 2026 4:41 PM
Author: titillating tan spot chad

It probably already has

Reminder most common "American AI" workers name is Ching Chong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879021&forum_id=2...id..#49974133)



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Date: July 1st, 2026 4:42 PM
Author: Cyan costumed step-uncle's house

If it has then where is the model?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879021&forum_id=2...id..#49974136)



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Date: July 1st, 2026 5:46 PM
Author: titillating tan spot chad

In ur penis probably

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879021&forum_id=2...id..#49974295)



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Date: July 1st, 2026 4:51 PM
Author: dun racy philosopher-king

distillation is overblown but chinese models still benefit from being able to distill and train on synthetic data produced by US frontier models. i feel like if it were easy for them to completely catch up they would have already given how many companies are attempting to do so there

the more relevant question is "when do chinese models get good enough that the difference doesn't practically matter for 99% of use", which i think we're 1-2 years away from. sooner for coding specifically.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879021&forum_id=2...id..#49974150)



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Date: July 1st, 2026 6:09 PM
Author: Adventurous misunderstood mental disorder

seems reasonable

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879021&forum_id=2...id..#49974325)



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Date: July 1st, 2026 6:10 PM
Author: Cyan costumed step-uncle's house

Distillation is overblown if being treated as a full magic catch-up. But underblown as an explanation for rapid practical convergence. And it is definitely cheating big time, although probably not legally exact to call it "counterfeiting" it is more in that direction than anything else.

Also I think the part you are missing is that a model has not "caught up" just because it meets benchmarks if it can only generate better capability through privileged access to a stronger teacher. That just makes it a successful parasite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5879021&forum_id=2...id..#49974332)