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what year will the last human die?

...
vibrant internet-worthy doctorate
  07/21/26
1945
walnut irradiated house
  07/21/26
oh.
vibrant internet-worthy doctorate
  07/22/26
Never.
Electric Bistre Stage
  07/22/26
this is obviously wrong. even if we don’t kill ourselv...
vibrant internet-worthy doctorate
  07/22/26
(lawyer)
Electric Bistre Stage
  07/22/26
I feel like if humans manage to survive to 2200 (i.e. become...
Curious institution death wish
  07/22/26
as power/technology increases, extinction-level event capabi...
vibrant internet-worthy doctorate
  07/22/26
on the face of it this would appear to be true
Curious institution death wish
  07/22/26
AI says it will be late 23rd Century: Based on a linear dec...
Useless alcoholic gaping
  07/22/26
declining fertility is great for the planet but terrible for...
Curious institution death wish
  07/22/26
this cannot be right
Ultramarine tanning salon
  07/22/26


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Date: July 21st, 2026 12:21 PM
Author: vibrant internet-worthy doctorate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50014248)



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Date: July 21st, 2026 12:22 PM
Author: walnut irradiated house

1945

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50014252)



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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:03 AM
Author: vibrant internet-worthy doctorate

oh.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50016476)



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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:04 AM
Author: Electric Bistre Stage

Never.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50016479)



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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:13 AM
Author: vibrant internet-worthy doctorate

this is obviously wrong. even if we don’t kill ourselves or have some random, horrendous catastrophe befall the planet, in, say, a billion years there will still be no “humans” as our progeny will have evolved into something technically different.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50016491)



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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:49 PM
Author: Electric Bistre Stage

(lawyer)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50018355)



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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:07 AM
Author: Curious institution death wish

I feel like if humans manage to survive to 2200 (i.e. become technologically advanced enough to solve climate change/resource limitations/post-AI society) then I'm not sure what would subsequently stop them from surviving multiple millennia

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50016485)



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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:10 AM
Author: vibrant internet-worthy doctorate

as power/technology increases, extinction-level event capabilities become further democratized.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50016488)



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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:17 AM
Author: Curious institution death wish

on the face of it this would appear to be true

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50016499)



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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:22 AM
Author: Useless alcoholic gaping

AI says it will be late 23rd Century:

Based on a linear decline of the global Total Fertility Rate (TFR), humanity will go completely extinct in approximately 244 to 264 years, with the global birth rate hitting zero in exactly 143.75 years.1. Calculate annual TFR declineThe starting fertility rate is \(2.3\).It drops \(0.4\) every \(25\) years.\(\text{Decline\ Rate}=\frac{0.4}{25}=0.016\text{\ per\ year}\)2. Determine zero birth yearWe define TFR over time \(t\):\(T(t)=2.3-0.016t\)Set fertility to zero:\(2.3-0.016t=0\)\(t=\frac{2.3}{0.016}=143.75\text{\ years}\)Global births completely stop at \(143.75\) years.3. Add remaining human lifespanExtinction occurs when the last person dies.The maximum human lifespan is \(100\) to \(120\) years.Add this lifespan to the zero birth year:Lower estimate: \(143.75 + 100 = 243.75 \text{ years}\)Upper estimate: \(143.75 + 120 = 263.75 \text{ years}\)Final Projection ✅Under these specific parameters, humanity will go completely extinct in 243.75 to 263.75 years from now.If you want to refine this projection, let me know if you would like to:Switch to an exponential decay model.Factor in shifting global life expectancies.Analyze regional variations in demographic trends.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50016509)



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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:23 AM
Author: Curious institution death wish

declining fertility is great for the planet but terrible for capitalism

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50016512)



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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:53 PM
Author: Ultramarine tanning salon

this cannot be right

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2...id..#50018365)