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Rate this scathing assessment of US/Israel from a defense analyst
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Date: March 11th, 2026 12:39 PM Author: arousing ratface https://x.com/pati_marins64/status/2031559703340236903
The ghost of defeat begins to haunt
Anyone who has been following me for several days will have seen that I’ve been tracking and repeating this same perception, which has now been published today by several major American newspapers.
And I’ll go even further: The US-Israel alliance is suffering a defeat the likes of which hasn’t been seen in a very long time.
The number of hospitalized people in Israel has risen to nearly 2,500, which reflects the scale of the Iranian response. Unfortunately, the vast majority are civilians, just as they are in Iran.
Air-defense batteries are being rushed in from Asia because Iran has destroyed or severely damaged several radars that are critical to these systems. Interceptors are also being urgently flown in from Asian countries.
150 American soldiers have been wounded and 7 have been killed so far.
Around 30 expensive Israel-US drones have been lost.
Billion-dollar damage has been inflicted on bases across the region, as well as on satellite communication systems in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Israel.
Iran has been launching missiles across 7 fronts for 11 straight days, day and night, with no sign of stopping.
And what are the US and Israel doing in response? The exact same thing: dropping bombs on Iran. Do you know what this has changed in the conflict? Absolutely nothing. Iran remains resilient in the face of these airstrikes, which so far have destroyed only a small portion of its arsenal.
But if Iran isn’t winning on the damage game, where exactly is it winning?
In an asymmetric war, you don’t need to dispute the damage on the front line , you just need to be resilient and exhaust your opponent, because he will eventually be consumed by “the pressure and critics”.
Iran has thousands of modern drone and of many types and models to secure the strait, along with a large stockpile of anti-ship missiles. I see no realistic chance of Iran losing the Strait of Hormuz now or at any other point in this war. For that to happen, there would need to be a massive ground invasion, and it would have to actually succeed.
Meanwhile, Iran is not only striking on 7 fronts but is also enforcing the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
What cards do the US and Israel still have left when it comes to forcing Iran’s surrender? Only the nuclear option. But I don’t believe there’s even the political atmosphere to seriously consider that.
If the strait is actually mined, Iran will have taken one more decisive step toward checkmate against the Israel-US coalition.
Can Iran’s arsenal sustain a prolonged conflict? My estimate is that they have already fired 2,000–2,500 missiles and still have at least 10 times that number left in the 300-2,000 km range. ( considering the years of production and the industrial size)
I do not see Iran being defeated due to a lack of missiles, at least at this moment. |
Date: March 11th, 2026 12:40 PM Author: arousing ratface Israel dreamt about this war for 40 years! LMFAO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734632) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 12:44 PM Author: insanely creepy amethyst set partner your "defense analyst" is posting Iranian generated AI slop and has no credible professional history. Her coverage is primarily anti-Western discussion of China and the Middle East but without any record of government or mainstream defense journalism employment.
https://x.com/pati_marins64/status/2031651770544398835 |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 12:57 PM Author: arousing ratface Shut up idiot. Rate Iran's underground naval tunnels.
https://x.com/Microinteracti1/status/2031684036846895311 |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 12:58 PM Author: insanely creepy amethyst set partner you've been getting gaped hard on the subject for over a week now, when is enough going to be enough?
Can you please, please explain to me how these boats are supposed to lay mines or fire missiles from inside a tunnel where they're parked one by one? Oh wait, they can't because that video is very clearly AI too. |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:04 PM Author: arousing ratface Everything that makes you kikes look bad is AI, we get it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734692) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 12:58 PM Author: drunken area You are attempting to engage in polemics with a low-IQ sand person who moved to America to colonize it for Islam. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734674) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:02 PM Author: insanely creepy amethyst set partner Don't worry, I remind him of the fact he's not welcome here in every single thread eventually. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734684) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:05 PM Author: arousing ratface LOL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734694) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:14 PM Author: yellow hall To be fair, "women" can't be "defense analysts" and should have fuck all to do with anything masculine like "guns." (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734724) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:44 PM Author: pink heady lodge Can she explain why the strategy behind placing the pussy so close to the asshole? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734812) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:32 PM Author: pink heady lodge Lol she (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734786) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 12:44 PM Author: Brindle Overrated Location Athletic Conference If Trump has lost Patricia Marins from Brazil, he's in big trouble (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734642) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 12:57 PM Author: arousing ratface yeah I definitely believe all the analysts at jew funded thinktanks over her (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734669) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 12:47 PM Author: titillating maroon theater faggot firefighter The US is using this war to kill off the last of European competitiveness and drive talent migration from Europe to the US. However bad it gets here it will be 5x worse in Europe. The US is not going to lose this war worse than Europe loses this war. And the skill migration will give us the raw numbers to compete with China while the value destruction will make us low wage like China. It is all intentional. It is pure evil but it all intentional. Trump is a monster. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734647) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 12:57 PM Author: Bisexual center party of the first part What's so frustrating about this war is that there is no actual benefit to be derived by the US, and yet there is a massive list of negatives, including:
1. virtually guaranteeing nuclear proliferation among those countries that are least desirable as custodians
2. cementing Iran's stranglehold on the region
3. corroding of the illusion of American power
4. weakening the value placed on America by every single ally everywhere in the world--including Israel
5. at least modestly increasing our speed towards the fiscal cliff
6. hastening the end of the petrodollar
7. revealing that the US military is so far behind the times that its military approach is like the French Maginot line in the face of blitzkrieg, with no realistic way to change it due to the stranglehold defense contractors have on our military (and the importance of the jobs they field for our antiquated idea of war)
Item 7 above is particularly damning and is like a multi-trillion dollar gift to our enemies |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:00 PM Author: multi-colored french place of business if we "win" this and commandeer iranian oil it will secure the petrodollar for decades and keep china at bay. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734676) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:05 PM Author: Bisexual center party of the first part Iraq and Afghanistan were disasters for us, and we didn't even attempt to completely seize their resources. What do you think will happen in Iran if we seize the people's means of survival?
The number of people who will resist in whatever way they can should not be underestimated |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:07 PM Author: multi-colored french place of business we don't need to seize it per se, just do the venezuela thing where we take it sell it on the open market and give them the money as long as they comply with us and maintain a liberal secular government. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734702) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:17 PM Author: aquamarine corner wagecucks persians are not lazy beaners bought out by CIA and what trump is saeying abt venezueula oil is bullshit just like everything he claims is bullshit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734733) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:07 PM Author: arousing ratface As they should. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734706) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:16 PM Author: aquamarine corner wagecucks its so hilarous birdshit fat retards tink they can just seize shit when they cant even defeat shoeless taliban or houthis (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734731) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:07 PM Author: arousing ratface really, the only question is if either of these two rogue nations led by megalomaniacs has the balls to use nukes. otherwise it's a resounding defeat for the reasons you mention. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734703) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:04 PM Author: aquamarine corner wagecucks rofl i just saw a chart showing that for the first time in many years there's more tech wrokers moving from US to EU than vice versa (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734691) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 12:58 PM Author: arousing ratface Rate Israeli air defenses last night
https://x.com/sumonkais/status/2031599599270731991
You Jews still want this smoke? |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:01 PM Author: insanely creepy amethyst set partner This would be embarassing if you had any capability for shame. Just AI video after AI video while the real world evidence is showing Iran is DONE HERE. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734682) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:03 PM Author: arousing ratface https://x.com/grok/status/2031626162921705794
Again, shut up idiot. |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:05 PM Author: insanely creepy amethyst set partner You can see it's fake because of the way it is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734693) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:05 PM Author: arousing ratface LOL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734695) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:02 PM Author: Bisexual center party of the first part The main drawback to this is that, if Iran is serious about being the one to dictate the timing of a cease fire, the threat of a nuclear strike against Iran actually becomes real
This is where we need a president who is able to tell Israel that he will join Iran in wiping them off the fucking map if they deploy nuclear capabilities. But we have a fucking dishrag in office |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:10 PM Author: arousing ratface It's tit-for-tat strikes at the moment. Iran isn't doing anything to be considered the aggressor, and I don't think it is serious about not accepting a ceasefire based on what we know about them. They are going just far enough to show the repercussions of future sucker punch surprise attacks.
And I don't think they'd accept Kushner and Witkoff as emissaries anymore. |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:23 PM Author: Bisexual center party of the first part The problem is that Israel will be inclined to lose its fucking mind if it tells Iran it wants a ceasefire and Iran wisely refuses
Israel is always indulged with relief when it asks for it. I really think it may believe nuclear strikes are the answer if/when it can't stop the conventional onslaught |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:40 PM Author: arousing ratface >The problem is that Israel will be inclined to lose its fucking mind if it tells Iran it wants a ceasefire and Iran wisely refuses
Yeah and that would be 180 but I don't think they can stomach dropping nukes -- that's the end of Jews as we know them. They will just have to accept the L and look like the bitches that they are. |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:18 PM Author: aquamarine corner wagecucks if israel nukes tehran with one nuke wtf does that do? it just turns the world against them, and it wont change these shiite iranians, they are insane and will continue same shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734735) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:30 PM Author: Bisexual center party of the first part I entirely agree. But they have built their identity around seeing everything as an existential threat. That may delude them into acting in a MAD way even in the face of conventional strikes that they cannot stop
It would actually be fitting if our "greatest ally" actually outdid North Korea at the "holding everybody hostage at the point of an ICBM" game |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 1:00 PM Author: aquamarine corner wagecucks this is what happens when u have a MAGA birdshit CEO instead of an indian ceo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49734680) |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 8:47 PM Author: startled locus I followed this chick. She had a lot of convincing posts like this saying that Iran was clearly winning because America was too scared of Iranian's air force to fly B2 bombers.
An hour later she was tweeting that America had blown up cities with B1 bombers.
10 hours later it was shown that America was flying B52 bombers.
So when judging if what she's saying is bullshit, remember that she was reporting that Iran could shoot down a stealth bomber when in reality floating sky buses could do whatever they want. |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 10:27 PM Author: arousing ratface https://x.com/hamidrezaaz/status/2031896480332562926
https://x.com/chrismurphyct/status/2031888978270371918 |
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Date: March 11th, 2026 11:25 PM Author: Lake abode Why don’t we just stop Iran oil tankers from reaching Asia? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2Vannesa#49736324) |