\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

Ukrainian military intelligence still doesn't realize Russia has begun an offens

They keep saying they expect Russia to begin an offensive in...
Amethyst toaster
  02/02/23
To be fair, Huh? What are you talking about? The war is o...
excitant church building
  02/02/23
How angry does this make you? https://twitter.com/bonker6...
Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier
  02/02/23
To be fair, I can't even respond because I just broke my ...
excitant church building
  02/02/23
Does that look like Russia is “winning” to you?
Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier
  02/02/23
To be fair, I'm not good at this "war" stuff, b...
excitant church building
  02/02/23
you’re such a dishonest little shit
Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier
  02/02/23
To be fair, Oh shit, guess I was wrong -- I guess it's ac...
excitant church building
  02/02/23
Russia walked in unopposed. Since then their line has only b...
Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier
  02/02/23
Doesn’t it end in September
Alcoholic scourge upon the earth cuckoldry
  02/02/23
Oh wow what an offensive https://twitter.com/bonker69420...
Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier
  02/02/23
It's fine to say that the offensive is failing, but that req...
Amethyst toaster
  02/02/23
hmm then how do you know about it? You must have better sour...
Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier
  02/02/23
This based solely on open source information.
Amethyst toaster
  02/02/23
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy tells Fox News Russian offensi...
Amethyst toaster
  02/02/23
Why doesn’t Zelensky tell Ukrainian intel this?
Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier
  02/02/23
I don't know. Ukrainian intelligence seems to think the offe...
Amethyst toaster
  02/02/23
To be fair, Ukraine will take Moscow any day now at this ...
excitant church building
  02/02/23
...
Onyx public bath regret
  02/05/23
That time lapse ended several months ago. Russia is advanci...
Onyx public bath regret
  02/05/23
Political maps also matter less than topographical ones IMO....
Amethyst toaster
  02/05/23
that their tiny pink moves aren't characterized as an offens...
Mustard Center
  02/02/23
Everyone seems to agree that an offensive is happening excep...
Amethyst toaster
  02/02/23
Holy shit even Zelensky is onto it. Only the Ukrainian milit...
Amethyst toaster
  02/02/23
LMAO even after Zelensky says the offensive has already begu...
Amethyst toaster
  02/02/23
Ukrainian Defense Minister still unaware. https://twitter...
Amethyst toaster
  02/02/23
lol at the purple tinted glasses
Indecent business firm
  02/02/23
Money quote: “We think that, given that they live b...
Amethyst toaster
  02/02/23
That's light from a screen reflecting off his glasses. The l...
Swollen ticket booth
  02/02/23
He was just fired over this.
Amethyst toaster
  02/05/23
...
Amethyst toaster
  02/05/23
WSJ still in the dark: Ukraine Braces for Major Russian...
Amethyst toaster
  02/02/23
...
Amethyst toaster
  02/05/23
Western countries have difficulty responding to a Chinese we...
Onyx public bath regret
  02/05/23
The only difficulty was in the decisionmaking process. I wil...
Amethyst toaster
  02/05/23
China would have taken down a similar balloon within 20 minu...
Onyx public bath regret
  02/05/23
I read a very WIDE range of estimates on its altitude, from ...
Amethyst toaster
  02/05/23
we're tough enough to wage a proxy war against russia and ki...
Mustard Center
  02/05/23
Are you not the destitute drug addicted homosexual criminal ...
Onyx public bath regret
  02/05/23
No actual toughness has been displayed by the USA in connect...
Amethyst toaster
  02/05/23
Ukrainecucks: we think Russia has additional capabilities it...
Amethyst toaster
  02/05/23
Shoulda listened to NSAM
Jared Baumeister
  07/30/26
...
Jared Baumeister
  07/31/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:18 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

They keep saying they expect Russia to begin an offensive in the next few weeks, oblivious to the fact that the offensive began weeks ago, after Russia took Soledar, and before the tank deal was even announced. These are not smart people.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878714)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:18 PM
Author: excitant church building

To be fair,

Huh? What are you talking about? The war is over, Russia lost (badly, btw). Do you even read XO? Pumos have been explaining this for months now.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878716)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:19 PM
Author: Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier

How angry does this make you?

https://twitter.com/bonker69420/status/1618215700270821385?s=46&t=Ly3dtgE13pz3d-F4xmAc4w

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878718)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:22 PM
Author: excitant church building

To be fair,

I can't even respond because I just broke my laptop slamming it shut after I watched that

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878728)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:25 PM
Author: Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier

Does that look like Russia is “winning” to you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878738)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:26 PM
Author: excitant church building

To be fair,

I'm not good at this "war" stuff, but which country is currently militarily occupying large parts of which country, again? I feel like as a general rule, usually the country that is being militarily occupied by the other country is probably the country that isn't doing super duper good, but again don't quote me on that I'm not a "war" guy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878743)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:28 PM
Author: Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier

you’re such a dishonest little shit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878747)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:29 PM
Author: excitant church building

To be fair,

Oh shit, guess I was wrong -- I guess it's actually usually the country that is being militarily occupied by an invading force which is the country that is winning the war. The more you know!

Also you don't seem anxious to respond to my poast below where I ask why this gif that ends five months ago is supposed to be a devastating rebuttal re the current state of play in Ukraine c. February 2023, but I'll assume that's just another thing I don't "get" because I'm "retarded" and "not really a war guy."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878754)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:46 PM
Author: Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier

Russia walked in unopposed. Since then their line has only been moving backwards. You know this you just don’t like what it means.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878826)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:53 PM
Author: Alcoholic scourge upon the earth cuckoldry

Doesn’t it end in September

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878845)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:19 PM
Author: Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier

Oh wow what an offensive

https://twitter.com/bonker69420/status/1618215700270821385?s=46&t=Ly3dtgE13pz3d-F4xmAc4w

Seems like they’re moving in the wrong direction

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878717)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:20 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

It's fine to say that the offensive is failing, but that requires you to admit that one has already begun. Ukraine's military leadership seems ignorant about this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878721)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:25 PM
Author: Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier

hmm then how do you know about it? You must have better sources than they do

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878740)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:29 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

This based solely on open source information.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878752)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:35 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy tells Fox News Russian offensive has already started

https://www.foxnews.com/world/ukrainian-president-zelenskyy-tells-fox-news-russian-offensive-already-started?intcmp=tw_fnc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878776)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:37 PM
Author: Bronze fiercely-loyal karate sound barrier

Why doesn’t Zelensky tell Ukrainian intel this?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878786)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:42 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

I don't know. Ukrainian intelligence seems to think the offensive hasn't happened yet. This was tweeted <30 minutes ago, after Zelensky spoke about it.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1621272023975469058?t=jCUmXXYc-L_L0YYDRzhjBg&s=19



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878803)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:24 PM
Author: excitant church building

To be fair,

Ukraine will take Moscow any day now at this rate!

Also IMO this timelapse gif that ends in September 2022 is a devastating response to the OP of this thread, which is concerning a Russian counteroffensive taking place in February 2023

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878734)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:09 PM
Author: Onyx public bath regret



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45890900)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:09 PM
Author: Onyx public bath regret

That time lapse ended several months ago. Russia is advancing now.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45890898)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:18 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

Political maps also matter less than topographical ones IMO. Russia needs to occupy high ground before it maeks it to the plains east of Kiev.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45890924)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:28 PM
Author: Mustard Center

that their tiny pink moves aren't characterized as an offensive says more about russia than ukraine. *houses 600 conscripts next to an ammo depot, lets them twerk on tiktok*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878749)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:30 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

Everyone seems to agree that an offensive is happening except the Ukrainian military.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878760)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:31 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

Holy shit even Zelensky is onto it. Only the Ukrainian military seems unaware.

https://twitter.com/FoxNews/status/1621250860822003713?t=n5DVLuOLrE43qT5Qr5lxfg&s=19

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878767)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:39 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

LMAO even after Zelensky says the offensive has already begun, Ukraine intelligence all unaware.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1621272023975469058?t=jCUmXXYc-L_L0YYDRzhjBg&s=19

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878789)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:45 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

Ukrainian Defense Minister still unaware.

https://twitter.com/NewVoiceUkraine/status/1621252869935534084?t=gHVZhozUVHWegpDszKp7ig&s=19

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878820)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:46 PM
Author: Indecent business firm

lol at the purple tinted glasses

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878824)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 6:00 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

Money quote:

“We think that, given that they live by symbols, they may try something around Feb. 24… We don’t underestimate our enemy.”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878878)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 6:19 PM
Author: Swollen ticket booth

That's light from a screen reflecting off his glasses. The lenses are clear, not purple

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878952)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 9:31 AM
Author: Amethyst toaster

He was just fired over this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45889327)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:07 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45890895)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 6:04 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

WSJ still in the dark:

Ukraine Braces for Major Russian Offensive

Leaders in Kyiv say Moscow is preparing attacks beyond contested Bakhmut region

Ukrainian servicemen taking part in military drills in the Kharkiv region of Ukraine.

Ukrainian servicemen taking part in military drills in the Kharkiv region of Ukraine. VITALII HNIDYI/REUTERS

By Jared MalsinFollow

Updated Feb. 1, 2023 6:12 pm ET

SAVE

SHARE

TEXT

511

Russia is preparing to launch a major new offensive against Ukraine in the coming weeks, a top Ukrainian security official said, adding to mounting concerns in Kyiv and the West that the Kremlin is preparing a renewed push to seize large areas of the country.

“Russia is preparing for maximum escalation,” said Oleksiy Danilov, the secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council, in an interview with Sky News published online early Wednesday local time. “It is gathering everything possible, doing drills and training.”



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45878895)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:07 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45890894)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:11 PM
Author: Onyx public bath regret

Western countries have difficulty responding to a Chinese weather balloon. They act as though they can stop Taiwan from reunification with China. Their failure in Ukraine is not surprising.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45890905)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:16 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

The only difficulty was in the decisionmaking process. I will say the one thing we haven't seen so far is what the USAF and Navy can do, particularly the USAF. We now know they can take down these balloons, but maybe that was never in doubt. For several days we were forced to speculate because Biden wouldn't authorize USAF to take that step.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45890916)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:17 PM
Author: Onyx public bath regret

China would have taken down a similar balloon within 20 minutes with little difficulty. These balloons are cheap weather balloons.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45890923)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 6:02 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

I read a very WIDE range of estimates on its altitude, from as low as 5k feet to 150k feet. There's a big difference there, not just in terms of anyone's ability to hit a target that size at that range, but in also in terms of the cost/benefit analysis. Also, at this point I don't trust anyone who claims they know how high it was. Even if every media outlet agreed today that it was at 60k feet, that would not be enough to convince me.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45891041)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:17 PM
Author: Mustard Center

we're tough enough to wage a proxy war against russia and kill 200,000 commies in less than a year

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45890922)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:18 PM
Author: Onyx public bath regret

Are you not the destitute drug addicted homosexual criminal of this board?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45890926)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 6:05 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

No actual toughness has been displayed by the USA in connection with that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45891046)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 6:25 PM
Author: Amethyst toaster

Ukrainecucks: we think Russia has additional capabilities it hasn't shown yet. We think they haven't taken off the gloves yet:

https://twitter.com/powerfultakes/status/1622371518356373506

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#45891109)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 30th, 2026 10:58 PM
Author: Jared Baumeister

Shoulda listened to NSAM

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#50035818)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 31st, 2026 3:33 PM
Author: Jared Baumeister



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2Vannesa#50037216)