Date: March 9th, 2026 4:26 PM
Author: Paralegal Mohammad (Death, death to the IDF!)
i don't have time to argue with delusional denialists, here
Short answer: No — that description is overly optimistic and not really accurate based on current reporting. Parts of it are partially true, but several key points are wrong or misleading.
Here’s the reality broken down.
1. “The US can fly anywhere over Iran and hit anyone”
Not fully true.
The U.S. and Israel do have strong airpower advantages and have achieved localized air superiority in some regions, especially near the Persian Gulf coast.
However, analysts warn that claims of total air dominance over Iran are exaggerated because Iran still has air defenses, missiles, and drones capable of threatening aircraft and bases.
Why it matters:
Iran is huge (~1.6 million km², mountainous terrain).
Deep inland strikes require SEAD operations, tankers, and suppression of mobile SAMs.
Iran still retains ballistic missiles and drones, which complicate operations.
Reality:
✔ U.S./Israel can strike targets across Iran
✖ But they do not have uncontested control of all Iranian airspace
2. “The Strait of Hormuz is open”
Also misleading.
Traffic through the strait has dropped dramatically since the conflict began.
In some periods, tanker traffic has fallen around 90%, with insurers refusing coverage.
Iran has threatened ships and in some cases declared the strait closed or unsafe.
Some ships still pass, but:
Many tankers turned back or stayed in port
The U.S. has discussed naval escorts for tankers
Reality:
✔ Not completely sealed
✖ But far from “open and normal”
3. “Oil is back to normal prices”
Definitely false right now.
Recent reporting:
Brent crude surged above $100 per barrel.
Some reports show prices reaching $110–$119 during the conflict.
Around 9 million barrels/day have been temporarily removed from the market.
The war has:
disrupted shipping
threatened Gulf production
spiked global energy prices
Reality:
✖ Oil markets are not normal at all.
4. Western-aligned production not damaged?
Mostly true — but fragile.
Most Gulf infrastructure is still intact, though:
Saudi facilities have been attacked (limited damage).
Several Gulf states have reduced output due to shipping disruptions and storage issues.
So:
✔ Major infrastructure mostly intact
✖ But output and shipping are disrupted
Bottom line
Your statement would only be accurate if things looked like this:
Claim Reality
US controls all Iranian airspace No — only partial/local superiority
Strait of Hormuz fully open No — traffic heavily disrupted
Oil prices normal No — >$100/barrel spike
Western oil production unaffected Mostly intact but under stress
So the current situation is far more unstable than the statement suggests.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5843402&forum_id=2Vannesa#49729489)