The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
Wait, Kharg Island is 150 miles from Hormuz?
| Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz | 03/23/26 |
| :-P | 03/23/26 |
| Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz | 03/23/26 |
| :-P | 03/23/26 |
| Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz | 03/23/26 |
| :-P | 03/23/26 |
| ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... | 03/23/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: March 23rd, 2026 2:21 PM Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz how is taking that going to help? All this time I thought it was an island in the middle of the Strait. I’m 99% sure Trump thinks this too (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5848843&forum_id=2most#49762840) |
Date: March 23rd, 2026 2:28 PM Author: :-P (gunneratttt) it's the port for 90% of iran's oil exports. i guess the hope is that taking the island will force them to negotiate or cripple their ability and incentive to keep the strait closed. and it must be a lot easier to take one tiny island than prevent iran from closing the strait. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5848843&forum_id=2most#49762869) |
 |
Date: March 23rd, 2026 2:38 PM Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz in that case I assume Iran will protect it vigorously. What’s the O/U on # of US Marines who will die storming it? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5848843&forum_id=2most#49762906) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2026 2:44 PM Author: :-P (gunneratttt) 0 because we'll just keep drone striking it to claim we "captured" it. no way we're sending boots on the ground to some small island surrounded by iran. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5848843&forum_id=2most#49762926) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2026 2:48 PM Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz Actually it sounds like that’s exactly what the plan is. Why else would you send ships filled with thousands of US Marines there?
btw this defense analyst firm estimates taking Kharg Island would result in 200-500 US casualties:
“Risk modeling employs a Poisson process for attack frequency: λ = 15 major incidents per month (based on Iran’s documented drone/missile capacity and proxy networks). Probability of at least one U.S. base strike in the first 30 days is 1−e−λ ≈ 99.99%. Casualty modeling (binomial distribution, n = 50 potential strikes, success probability per strike 0.20 from defensive intercepts) yields expected U.S./allied deaths of 200–500 in month one, scaling with escalation intensity.”
https://www.indrastra.com/2026/03/the-kharg-island-gamble-probabilistic.html?m=1 |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2026 2:56 PM Author: :-P (gunneratttt) jfc. i'd chalk this up as impotent saber rattling except we have gone completely retarded.
the silver lining is that this would likely bring the conflict to a conclusion. people would be soMAF we lost a bunch of marines they'd either go 2001 levels of support or opposition. a modern remember the maine. |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2026 3:28 PM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5848168&mc=5&forum_id=2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5848843&forum_id=2most#49763069) |