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Prediction: the US will take these islands, not Kharg Island - link
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Date: March 21st, 2026 8:56 AM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abu_Musa
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_and_Lesser_Tunbs
Seems like those islands would be a prime target for any U.S. Marine Corps operations- UAE already claims sovereignty over them, they have airports, are very strategically located and outside of artillery range from Iran.
These islands will be much easier for the US to take than Kharg Island and much less likely to elicit an attack on the Qatar LNG. If we have control over them, we can set up bases to make it much harder for Ukraine (edit: Iran) to assert control over the Strait. |
Date: March 21st, 2026 8:58 AM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... Iran definitely worried about it:
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/world/iran-warn-uae-disputed-islands-abu-musa-greater-tunb-6008571 |
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Date: March 21st, 2026 9:12 AM Author: AZNgirl not letting AZNmen enter Website u wld think after getting their ass pounded in by shoeless talibana and nigga houthis US birdshits wld learn to STFU abt mideast wars but i see on X they are thinking JUST TAKE THIS ISLAND AND IRAN WILL GIVE UP!
rofl no matter which island u take there's really no way for iran to fire a missile at it, right birdshits? no way for them to lay traps and ambushes, right birdshits?
and how do u even get the marines there? u cant send ships thru the persian gulf so by air? well u have to supply them, just 3k troops require some ridiculous amount like 20 tons of supplies a day
its just embarassing how stupid amerishits are, it really is |
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Date: March 21st, 2026 9:20 AM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... This ain't Guadalcanal, dummy. Look at the map- Abu Musa is 25 miles away from the nation - UAE - which claims it as its sovereign territory. Kharg Island might, in fact, have some difficult resupply issues since it's deep into the Persian Gulf. That's a big reason I'm predicting we will go for this low-hanging fruit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5848168&forum_id=2most#49758935) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2026 1:08 PM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... https://x.com/BabakTaghvaee1/status/2036091526258823439?s=20
It's a burden being right so often, but I'm prepared to shoulder it. |
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Date: March 23rd, 2026 3:52 PM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... https://x.com/MT_Anderson/status/2036167054848618700 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5848168&forum_id=2most#49763118) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2026 3:54 PM Author: norwood ultra > If we have control over them, we can set up bases to make it much harder for Ukraine to assert control over the Strait.
🤔 |
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Date: March 23rd, 2026 3:55 PM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... Freudian slip? It's technically true at any rate. :) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5848168&forum_id=2most#49763123) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2026 4:09 PM Author: Fucking Fuckface Bets on Iran's response if naval boats arrive laden with troops? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5848168&forum_id=2most#49763146) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2026 4:11 PM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... I think their response will be solely with drones and missiles. But that's a lot in today's day and age. They forced us to abandon our embassies in the region with those tactics. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5848168&forum_id=2most#49763150) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2026 4:16 PM Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz this defense analyst firm estimates taking Kharg Island would result in 200-500 US casualties:
“Risk modeling employs a Poisson process for attack frequency: λ = 15 major incidents per month (based on Iran’s documented drone/missile capacity and proxy networks). Probability of at least one U.S. base strike in the first 30 days is 1−e−λ ≈ 99.99%. Casualty modeling (binomial distribution, n = 50 potential strikes, success probability per strike 0.20 from defensive intercepts) yields expected U.S./allied deaths of 200–500 in month one, scaling with escalation intensity.”
https://www.indrastra.com/2026/03/the-kharg-island-gamble-probabilistic.html?m=1 |