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HISPANICS ARE VOTING IN DROVES! GOP/Trump/Birdshits are DONE HERE!

https://twitter.com/electionsmith/status/795621082262884352 ...
vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace
  11/07/16
http://imgur.com/Q8Cdr53
mint masturbator gas station
  11/07/16
lol
High-end disrespectful institution
  11/07/16
this was well done
soul-stirring nowag property
  11/07/16
That troll Boombastic NATASCHA (NATY) ENCINOSA can suck my c...
Walnut Stock Car
  11/07/16
?? Need to show how it compares to 2012. The rest of that...
Rusted psychic orchestra pit
  11/07/16
What the hell is other
Mischievous Sanctuary
  11/07/16
(guy still trying to bruteforce the 'birdshit' shitmeme)
Onyx pocket flask
  11/07/16
(guy who doesn't get that "birdshit" was used mock...
vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace
  11/07/16
ive always had a soft spot for the birdshit meme
Bisexual point
  11/07/16
Hispanics were 9.5% of FL electorate in 2012 and whites were...
fantasy-prone shivering degenerate nursing home
  11/07/16
Right. So whites performed about the same in 2012 relative ...
vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace
  11/07/16
wtf? are you from /r/the_donald?
Rusted psychic orchestra pit
  11/07/16
OK what am I looking at here. Is this good?
orchid bespoke mother stage
  11/07/16
See above.
vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace
  11/07/16
2012 vs 2016 with votes cast and percent of early vote to da...
gold godawful jap
  11/07/16
A million more whites is good for Trump. 400k+ additional Hi...
180 salmon station boltzmann
  11/07/16
Trump gains with whites > Hillary's gains with Hispanics ...
vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace
  11/07/16
( Guy who doesn't understand percentages)
provocative burgundy pit
  11/07/16
Blacks were 15.9% of the early vote in 2012 and 13.1% in 201...
vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace
  11/07/16
Minority (Black+Hisp) vote to date in 2012: 26.8% Minority ...
provocative burgundy pit
  11/07/16
So they increased their share of early votes by 1.6%, even t...
vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace
  11/07/16
Trump won't get more whites as Romney, it will be whites tha...
Mischievous Sanctuary
  11/07/16
dude she's right. the demographic %ages suggest Trump is doi...
embarrassed to the bone theater gaming laptop
  11/07/16
Say what? More blacks and hispanics turned out for the early...
Metal slate meetinghouse
  11/07/16
And the white vote % is down
provocative burgundy pit
  11/07/16
You're not accounting for demographic shifts.
vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace
  11/07/16
Raw numbers matter less than the percentages, which should b...
vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace
  11/07/16
If you break it down by the latest CBS yougov poll demograph...
Mischievous Sanctuary
  11/07/16
Question 59 (page 57) How the FUCK do 47% of Hispanics th...
Walnut Stock Car
  11/07/16
Nope. Don't forget a lot of those whites are women. More tha...
Diverse Chad
  11/07/16
oh shit, you're right. Trump is fuct.
embarrassed to the bone theater gaming laptop
  11/07/16
...
cobalt school marketing idea
  11/07/16
...
Diverse Chad
  11/07/16
Question 59 (page 57) How the FUCK do 47% of Hispanics th...
Walnut Stock Car
  11/07/16
...
tan contagious rigor
  11/15/16
...
Diverse Chad
  01/07/18
...
Impertinent rehab messiness
  01/07/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 11:34 AM
Author: vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace

https://twitter.com/electionsmith/status/795621082262884352

Just kidding!

Here is the exit breakdown from 2012 in FL, which Obama won by only 73,189 votes:

White: 67% (Romney won 61-37)

Black:13% (Obama won 95-4)

Hispanics: 17% (Obama won 60-39)

Other: 2% (Obama won 59-39)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823409)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:37 PM
Author: mint masturbator gas station

http://imgur.com/Q8Cdr53

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31824176)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:41 PM
Author: High-end disrespectful institution

lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31824195)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 8:01 PM
Author: soul-stirring nowag property

this was well done

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31827315)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 8:15 PM
Author: Walnut Stock Car

That troll Boombastic NATASCHA (NATY) ENCINOSA can suck my chimichanga ANYTIME...

http://www.imgrum.net/user/nataschaencinosa/433342115/1105720257129026292_433342115

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31827419)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 11:40 AM
Author: Rusted psychic orchestra pit

?? Need to show how it compares to 2012.

The rest of that twitter suggests a surge in nonwhite voters.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823448)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 11:48 AM
Author: Mischievous Sanctuary

What the hell is other

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823498)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 11:50 AM
Author: Onyx pocket flask

(guy still trying to bruteforce the 'birdshit' shitmeme)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823505)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 11:51 AM
Author: vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace

(guy who doesn't get that "birdshit" was used mockingly)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823516)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 12:46 PM
Author: Bisexual point

ive always had a soft spot for the birdshit meme

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823818)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 11:51 AM
Author: fantasy-prone shivering degenerate nursing home

Hispanics were 9.5% of FL electorate in 2012 and whites were 72% so...yeah

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823512)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 12:06 PM
Author: vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace

Right. So whites performed about the same in 2012 relative to their population (66.7% of eligible voters, 67% turnout), while Latinos over performed in 2012 (16.6% of eligible voters, 17% turnout).

Yet in 2016, whites OVER performed relative to their population (64.5 of eligible voters, 65.8% turnout), while Latinos UNDER performed in 2016 (18.2% of eligible voters, 15.3% turnout).

TRUMP! TRUMP! TRUMP!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823618)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 12:41 PM
Author: Rusted psychic orchestra pit

wtf? are you from /r/the_donald?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823785)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 11:59 AM
Author: orchid bespoke mother stage

OK what am I looking at here. Is this good?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823563)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 12:06 PM
Author: vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace

See above.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823619)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 12:47 PM
Author: gold godawful jap

2012 vs 2016 with votes cast and percent of early vote to date

2012

Black 764,000 (15.9%)

Hispanic 522,500 (10.9%)

White 3.3M (67.9%)

Other 251,500 (7%)

2016

Black 834,600 (13.1%)

Hispanic 976,300 (15.3%)

White 4.2M (65.8%)

Other 373,000 (5.8%)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823822)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 12:50 PM
Author: 180 salmon station boltzmann

A million more whites is good for Trump. 400k+ additional Hispanic is very bad.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823837)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 12:51 PM
Author: vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace

Trump gains with whites > Hillary's gains with Hispanics + Hillary's losses with Blacks.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823844)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 12:53 PM
Author: provocative burgundy pit

( Guy who doesn't understand percentages)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823862)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:04 PM
Author: vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace

Blacks were 15.9% of the early vote in 2012 and 13.1% in 2016. You sure you're not the one who doesn't understand percentages?

Also, it's Florida, so the percentage of eligible Black voters as a percentage of total population has gone up...

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823921)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:09 PM
Author: provocative burgundy pit

Minority (Black+Hisp) vote to date in 2012: 26.8%

Minority vote (Black + Hispanic) to date in 2016: 28.4%

White vote % down to date vs 2012

HTH.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823967)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:15 PM
Author: vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace

So they increased their share of early votes by 1.6%, even though demographically, Blacks and Latinos have increased their share of total eligible voters FL by probably 3-4%? So they're under-performing relative to their demographics, while whites are over-performing, and Trump is expected to get a higher percentage of whites vs Romney and Clinton is expected to get a lower percentage of Blacks vs. Obama, all in a state that Obama won by less than 75K votes.

You're done here.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31824004)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:18 PM
Author: Mischievous Sanctuary

Trump won't get more whites as Romney, it will be whites that defeat Trump not Hispanics

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31824030)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:24 PM
Author: embarrassed to the bone theater gaming laptop

dude she's right. the demographic %ages suggest Trump is doing worse than Romney. all your argument is saying is that if the minority vote kept up with registration Trump would be doing even worse than he's already doing.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31824069)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 12:54 PM
Author: Metal slate meetinghouse

Say what? More blacks and hispanics turned out for the early vote as compared to 2016.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823864)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 12:56 PM
Author: provocative burgundy pit

And the white vote % is down

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823880)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:07 PM
Author: vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace

You're not accounting for demographic shifts.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823943)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:06 PM
Author: vibrant duck-like idiot electric furnace

Raw numbers matter less than the percentages, which should be viewed relative to demographic changes (i.e., there is a smaller percentage of eligible white voters in FL)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823941)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:15 PM
Author: Mischievous Sanctuary

If you break it down by the latest CBS yougov poll demographics...

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/mwbtap4dgs/FL_Prelim_20161106.pdf

For Hillary:

Black: 759k

Hispanic: 527k

Whites 1.38 million

Other: 115k

Total: 2.78m

For Trump:

Black: 50k

Hispanic: 332

White: 2.35m

Other: 179

Total: 2.91m



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31824006)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 8:06 PM
Author: Walnut Stock Car

Question 59 (page 57)

How the FUCK do 47% of Hispanics think "The Wall" is a good idea?!



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31827353)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:01 PM
Author: Diverse Chad

Nope. Don't forget a lot of those whites are women. More than in 2012. And Clinton early vote targeted low propensity.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31823904)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 1:25 PM
Author: embarrassed to the bone theater gaming laptop

oh shit, you're right. Trump is fuct.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31824078)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 5:45 PM
Author: cobalt school marketing idea



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31826073)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 7:59 PM
Author: Diverse Chad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31827304)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2016 8:06 PM
Author: Walnut Stock Car

Question 59 (page 57)

How the FUCK do 47% of Hispanics think "The Wall" is a good idea?!

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/mwbtap4dgs/FL_Prelim_20161106.pdf

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31827356)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2016 11:14 AM
Author: tan contagious rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#31913923)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2018 2:35 PM
Author: Diverse Chad



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#35102919)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2018 2:37 PM
Author: Impertinent rehab messiness



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3414320&forum_id=2#35102935)